Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rot-Weiss Essen v TSV Havelse

Início: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 TSV Havelse

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Previsão 72.92%1.37odd justa
EV -6.67%
Vantagem -5.21%
Kelly -23.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.58%72.79%72.89%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.251.251.2884.75%79.99%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Previsão 11.76%8.51odd justa
EV +5.80%
Vantagem +0.644%
Kelly +0.725%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.00%11.86%11.77%14.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.778.009.0016.67%12.86%12.50%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.33%6.52odd justa
EV -0.366%
Vantagem -0.056%
Kelly -0.067%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.39%15.35%15.33%17.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.745.606.5021.05%17.42%17.86%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 72.92%; TSV Havelse (Visitante): 11.76%; Empate: 15.33%. Para TSV Havelse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.51. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.84%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -4.20%E -0.672%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +5.80%E +0.644%K +0.725%G +0.042%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.85%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 10.97%EV +0.509%E +0.060%K +0.067%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.18%EV -5.27%E -0.853%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:24
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -13.23%E -11.12%K -69.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -11.10%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.88%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -0.078%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.70%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.94%EV -12.63%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:34
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.96%E -0.745%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:43
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.91%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.72%EV -8.13%E -6.45%K -31.25%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.75%EV -8.31%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -9.56%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -6.67%E -5.21%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.366%E -0.056%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:53
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.40%E -5.82%K -27.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:19
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -9.58%E -7.73%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -17.23%E -3.19%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.68%EV -11.04%E -9.05%K -50.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -11.83%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.66%EV -19.53%E -3.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 10:24
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.95%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -14.77%E -2.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -11.86%E -2.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -8.03%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 10:59
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 70.57%EV -13.96%E -11.83%K -77.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.90%EV -17.71%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.53%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-15 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -12.50%E -10.42%K -62.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -23.59%E -3.63%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -27.19%E -5.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-15 10:52
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.50%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -24.76%E -3.87%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.74%EV -14.16%E -2.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 10:59
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -8.85%E -7.08%K -35.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -29.47%E -4.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -15.69%E -2.85%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.46%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-08-15 11:55