Language:English
Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -3.70%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.88%51.99%51.65%54.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8059.88%56.99%57.31%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%25.48%25.30%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.643.603.9531.25%27.45%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.43%22.53%23.05%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.893.804.6029.41%25.68%26.32%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 51.85%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 25.37%; Draw: 22.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -12.37%E -7.32%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.57%EV -15.53%E -4.66%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 02:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 00:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 00:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-03 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-02 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.82%E -5.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 21:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.99%E -5.00%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-31 09:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-09-04 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |