Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

2026-09-05 14:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

50%

24%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd

EV -7.53%

Edge -4.07%

Kelly -8.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.98%49.98%49.98%49.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.851.851.851.8554.05%54.05%54.05%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)

Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd

EV -7.53%

Edge -1.98%

Kelly -2.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.33%24.33%24.33%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.803.803.803.8026.32%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd

EV -7.53%

Edge -2.09%

Kelly -2.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.69%25.69%25.69%25.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rot-Weiss Essen (Local): 49.98%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 24.33%; Draw: 25.69%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -7.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-16 21:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.