Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Inizio: 2026-09-05 14:30 UTC

Finale: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Casa)

Previsione 51.85%1.93quota equa
EV -6.67%
Vantaggio -3.70%
Kelly -8.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.88%51.99%51.65%54.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.751.751.8059.88%56.99%57.31%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.37%3.94quota equa
EV +0.202%
Vantaggio +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.20%25.48%25.30%27.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.643.603.9531.25%27.45%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.78%4.39quota equa
EV +4.79%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.064%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.43%22.53%23.05%24.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.893.804.6029.41%25.68%26.32%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rot-Weiss Essen (Casa): 51.85%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Trasferta): 25.37%; Pareggio: 22.78%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.39. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.79%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%8.8%2026-09-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 12:40
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -12.37%E -7.32%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.57%EV -15.53%E -4.66%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:33
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.82%E -5.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-03 16:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.99%E -5.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 09:49
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35