StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma)

Prognos 51.85%1.93rättvist odds
EV -6.67%
Fördel -3.70%
Kelly -8.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.88%51.99%51.65%54.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.751.751.8059.88%56.99%57.31%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Borta)

Prognos 25.37%3.94rättvist odds
EV +0.202%
Fördel +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.20%25.48%25.30%27.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.643.603.9531.25%27.45%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.78%4.39rättvist odds
EV +4.79%
Fördel +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Tillväxt +0.064%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.43%22.53%23.05%24.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.893.804.6029.41%25.68%26.32%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma): 51.85%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Borta): 25.37%; Oavgjort: 22.78%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.39. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%8.8%2026-09-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 12:40
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -12.37%E -7.32%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.57%EV -15.53%E -4.66%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:33
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.82%E -5.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-03 16:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.99%E -5.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 09:49
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35