Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:30 UTC

Score final : Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 51.85%1.93cote équitable
EV -6.67%
Avantage -3.70%
Kelly -8.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.88%51.99%51.65%54.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8059.88%56.99%57.31%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.202%
Avantage +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.20%25.48%25.30%27.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.603.9531.25%27.45%27.78%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.43%22.53%23.05%24.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.893.804.6029.41%25.68%26.32%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rot-Weiss Essen (Local) : 51.85% ; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur) : 25.37% ; Match nul : 22.78%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +4.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV +4.79%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.064%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -10.81%E -6.29%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%6.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +2.51%E +0.558%K +0.717%G +0.018%8.8%2026-09-03 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 12:40
Suprabets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.36%EV -12.37%E -7.32%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.57%EV -15.53%E -4.66%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -4.32%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.26%E -5.29%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.16%E -2.86%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 00:33
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.21%EV -8.74%E -4.97%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -9.95%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 00:35
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -13.75%E -4.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -13.44%E -3.54%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 17:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-02 01:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -18.82%E -5.88%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.57%E -3.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-03 16:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -15.71%E -4.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.30%E -5.95%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.99%E -5.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 09:49
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.07%EV -13.41%E -8.03%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -16.29%E -4.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.59%EV -22.55%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%19.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35