StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Ingolstadt 04

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma)

Prognos 57.31%1.74rättvist odds
EV -3.71%
Fördel -2.21%
Kelly -5.46%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.33%57.26%57.33%58.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.621.621.6866.67%61.81%61.92%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Borta)

Prognos 20.98%4.77rättvist odds
EV -3.49%
Fördel -0.759%
Kelly -0.969%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.32%21.02%20.87%23.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.21%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.71%4.61rättvist odds
EV -2.32%
Fördel -0.515%
Kelly -0.663%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.48%21.72%21.80%23.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.41%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma): 57.31%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Borta): 20.98%; Oavgjort: 21.71%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.61. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.50, med väntevärdet -2.32%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:39
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.84%EV -4.12%E -0.901%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:35
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:09
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 10:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 10:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.49%E -0.759%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:44
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:10
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.663%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Suprabets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.45%E -5.98%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:22
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.17%E -7.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -21.32%E -5.69%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 11:34
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.86%E -6.07%K -8.41%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-11 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.03%E -6.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:55