La scuola delle quote

Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Ingolstadt 04

Inizio: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Casa)

Previsione 57.31%1.74quota equa
EV -3.71%
Vantaggio -2.21%
Kelly -5.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.33%57.26%57.33%58.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.621.6866.67%61.81%61.92%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.98%4.77quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -0.759%
Kelly -0.969%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.32%21.02%20.87%23.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.21%24.39%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.71%4.61quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.515%
Kelly -0.663%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.48%21.72%21.80%23.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.41%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:40
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.84%EV -4.12%E -0.901%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 11:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:09
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:09
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 10:15
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 10:15
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.49%E -0.759%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 10:44
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:10
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.663%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.45%E -5.98%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:22
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:10
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.17%E -7.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -21.32%E -5.69%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 11:34
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 11:10
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.86%E -6.07%K -8.41%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-11 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.03%E -6.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-04-11 11:55