L’École des cotesFrançais
Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Ingolstadt 04
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Prévision 57.31%1.74cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -5.46%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.33%57.26%57.33%58.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.6866.67%61.81%61.92%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.98%4.77cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -0.759%
Kelly -0.969%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.02%20.87%23.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.21%24.39%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.71%4.61cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.663%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.48%21.72%21.80%23.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.41%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.84%EV -4.12%E -0.901%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.49%E -0.759%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.45%E -5.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:22 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.17%E -7.20%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -21.32%E -5.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.86%E -6.07%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.03%E -6.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |