La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rot-Weiss Essen v FC Ingolstadt 04
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)
Predicción 57.31%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -5.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.33%57.26%57.33%58.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.621.6866.67%61.81%61.92%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visitante)
Predicción 20.98%4.77momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -0.759%
Kelly -0.969%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.02%20.87%23.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.104.6026.67%24.21%24.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.71%4.61momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.663%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.48%21.72%21.80%23.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.41%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -3.71%E -2.21%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.84%EV -4.12%E -0.901%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.45%EV -3.62%E -0.816%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.00%E -2.68%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.30%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.86%EV -6.64%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.16%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.75%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -7.15%E -4.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 10:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.46%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 21.59%EV -11.67%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 21.95%EV -10.13%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.00%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 10:45 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -7.73%E -4.80%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.49%E -0.759%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 10:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.88%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.59%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.19%EV -10.83%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.45%E -5.98%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.78%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:22 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.94%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.69%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -11.17%E -7.20%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -21.32%E -5.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.15%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.83%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.34%EV -12.31%E -8.05%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 11:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -11.88%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.18%E -4.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -21.86%E -6.07%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.45%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%EV -16.08%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -24.03%E -6.86%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-11 11:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |