Language:English
MSV Duisburg v FC Energie Cottbus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -0.565%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.60%33.79%34.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.59%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Energie Cottbus (Visit)
Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.83%40.46%40.32%41.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.202.4147.62%45.09%45.45%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.94%25.89%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.78%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MSV Duisburg (Local): 33.71%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visit): 40.41%; Draw: 25.88%. For MSV Duisburg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.565%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.565%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.62%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 33.76%EV -9.33%E -3.47%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.27%EV -13.81%E -4.15%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 11:22 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.88%E -4.89%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.42%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-03 11:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -19.10%E -7.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |