L’École des cotesMSV Duisburg v FC Energie Cottbus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prévision 33.71%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.565%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.71%33.60%33.79%34.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.59%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.41%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.83%40.46%40.32%41.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.202.4147.62%45.09%45.45%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -0.785%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.36%25.94%25.89%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.78%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.565%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.62%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Suprabets | 2.69I 37.17%NM 33.76%EV -9.33%E -3.47%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.27%EV -13.81%E -4.15%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 11:22 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:21 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.88%E -4.89%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.42%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-03 11:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -19.10%E -7.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |