La escuela de los momiosEspañol
MSV Duisburg v FC Energie Cottbus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 33.71%2.97momio equitativo
EV -0.565%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.71%33.60%33.79%34.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.59%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante)
Predicción 40.41%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.83%40.46%40.32%41.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.202.4147.62%45.09%45.45%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -0.785%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.36%25.94%25.89%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.78%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.565%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:51 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 11:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.62%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bovada | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Suprabets | 2.69I 37.17%NM 33.76%EV -9.33%E -3.47%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.27%EV -13.81%E -4.15%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 11:22 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 11:21 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.88%E -4.89%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.42%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-05-03 11:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -19.10%E -7.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-05-03 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-03 11:25 |