StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

MSV Duisburg v FC Energie Cottbus

Matchstart: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Energie Cottbus

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

MSV Duisburg (Hemma)

Prognos 33.71%2.97rättvist odds
EV -0.565%
Fördel -0.191%
Kelly -0.290%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.71%33.60%33.79%34.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.732.752.9541.67%36.59%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Energie Cottbus (Borta)

Prognos 40.41%2.47rättvist odds
EV -2.61%
Fördel -1.08%
Kelly -1.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.83%40.46%40.32%41.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.222.202.4147.62%45.09%45.45%41.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.88%3.86rättvist odds
EV -2.94%
Fördel -0.785%
Kelly -1.07%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.36%25.94%25.89%27.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.473.503.7533.33%28.78%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: MSV Duisburg (Hemma): 33.71%; FC Energie Cottbus (Borta): 40.41%; Oavgjort: 25.88%. För MSV Duisburg (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.97. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.95, med väntevärdet -0.565%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.565%E -0.191%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:25
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -3.94%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 11:05
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 11:05
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 11:05
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.22%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.62%EV -2.61%E -1.08%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 11:25
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.31%E -2.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.79%EV -8.32%E -3.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.785%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -8.27%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 11:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 11:24
Suprabets🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 33.76%EV -9.33%E -3.47%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.27%EV -13.81%E -4.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:22
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -11.69%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:21
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.88%E -4.89%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-03 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.41%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-03 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.42%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.18%E -5.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%19.7%2026-05-03 11:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -19.10%E -7.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -22.35%E -7.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%22.6%2026-05-03 11:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-05-03 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-03 11:25