默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue

开赛时间: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jahn Regensburg (主队)

预测 49.12%2.04公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -3.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
46.40%49.41%49.02%52.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.881.881.9657.80%53.27%53.19%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Erzgebirge Aue (客队)

预测 26.04%3.84公平赔率
EV +1.54%
优势 +0.396%
Kelly +0.532%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.00%25.83%26.06%28.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.423.403.9031.25%29.24%29.41%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.85%4.02公平赔率
EV -0.613%
优势 -0.153%
Kelly -0.204%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.23%24.76%24.93%26.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.613.554.0032.26%27.73%28.17%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jahn Regensburg (主队):49.12%;Erzgebirge Aue (客队):26.04%;平局:24.85%。 对于“Erzgebirge Aue (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+1.54%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.54%E +0.396%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:04
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -0.800%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.83%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -9.81%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.613%E -0.153%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 15:15
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-07 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:24
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -22.97%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-07 16:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:50