La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Predicción 49.12%2.04momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.40%49.41%49.02%52.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.881.9657.80%53.27%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)
Predicción 26.04%3.84momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.396%
Kelly +0.532%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%25.83%26.06%28.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.9031.25%29.24%29.41%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.613%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.204%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.23%24.76%24.93%26.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.554.0032.26%27.73%28.17%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.54%E +0.396%K +0.532%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -0.800%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.83%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -9.81%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.613%E -0.153%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-07 15:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:04 |
| Casumo | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -22.97%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |