A Escola das Odds

Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue

Início: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.40%49.41%49.02%52.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.881.881.9657.80%53.27%53.19%51.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)

Previsão 26.04%3.84odd justa
EV +1.54%
Vantagem +0.396%
Kelly +0.532%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.00%25.83%26.06%28.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.9031.25%29.24%29.41%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.85%4.02odd justa
EV -0.613%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.204%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.23%24.76%24.93%26.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.613.554.0032.26%27.73%28.17%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.54%E +0.396%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:04
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -0.800%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:55
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.83%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -9.81%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.613%E -0.153%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 15:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:39
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-07 15:15
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -22.97%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-07 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:50