L’École des cotes

Jahn Regensburg v Erzgebirge Aue

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 49.12%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.40%49.41%49.02%52.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.881.9657.80%53.27%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Erzgebirge Aue (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.04%3.84cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +0.396%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.83%26.06%28.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.9031.25%29.24%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.613%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%24.76%24.93%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.554.0032.26%27.73%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.54%E +0.396%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 16:04
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -0.800%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -3.10%E -0.794%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 16:55
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -2.36%E -0.630%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -1.86%E -0.470%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%EV -10.61%E -5.83%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -4.97%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -9.81%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:32
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.27%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:29
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 16:30
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.57%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.31%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -0.613%E -0.153%K -0.204%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:20
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.66%E -4.07%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 15:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:39
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 15:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 16:44
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.07%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 16:25
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.13%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.48%E -3.38%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-07 14:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.08%E -4.27%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-07 15:15
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.55%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:04
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -15.38%E -4.73%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.04%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-07 16:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 48.24%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.08%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.68%EV -19.25%E -5.92%K -8.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.03%E -8.69%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -16.68%E -5.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -22.97%E -7.41%K -10.94%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-07 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-07 16:50