Language:English
Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart II
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Prediction 62.56%1.60fair odd
EV -6.16%
Edge -4.11%
Kelly -12.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.54%62.41%62.55%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.441.5073.53%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)
Prediction 17.05%5.86fair odd
EV -0.076%
Edge -0.013%
Kelly -0.016%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%17.09%17.01%18.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.325.405.8622.22%18.79%18.52%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.39%4.90fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.388%
Kelly +0.485%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.46%20.50%20.44%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.494.405.0026.32%22.27%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 62.56%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 17.05%; Draw: 20.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.14%EV -14.92%E -10.97%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -7.92%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 16:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 16:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.15%EV -0.076%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.75%EV -7.03%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -10.48%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -11.33%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 16:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 16:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.37%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.12%E -0.370%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.59%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.62%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.99%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-16 16:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -19.00%E -4.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-16 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-16 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |