默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart II

开赛时间: 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Hansa Rostock 3–2 VfB Stuttgart II

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock (主队)

预测 62.56%1.60公平赔率
EV -6.16%
优势 -4.11%
Kelly -12.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
59.54%62.41%62.55%65.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.451.441.5073.53%69.17%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfB Stuttgart II (客队)

预测 17.05%5.86公平赔率
EV -0.076%
优势 -0.013%
Kelly -0.016%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.86

博彩公司预测分布
15.75%17.09%17.01%18.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.325.405.8622.22%18.79%18.52%17.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.39%4.90公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +0.388%
Kelly +0.485%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.46%20.50%20.44%22.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.494.405.0026.32%22.27%22.73%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hansa Rostock (主队):62.56%;VfB Stuttgart II (客队):17.05%;平局:20.39%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.90。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.00,对应+1.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.14%EV -14.92%E -10.97%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -7.92%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 16:21
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.15%EV -0.076%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.75%EV -7.03%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -10.48%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -11.33%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 16:41
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:21
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.37%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.12%E -0.370%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.59%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.62%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.99%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:33
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -19.00%E -4.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-16 16:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55