Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

Score final : Hansa Rostock 3–2 VfB Stuttgart II

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 62.56%1.60cote équitable
EV -6.16%
Avantage -4.11%
Kelly -12.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.54%62.41%62.55%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.441.5073.53%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.05%5.86cote équitable
EV -0.076%
Avantage -0.013%
Kelly -0.016%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.75%17.09%17.01%18.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.325.405.8622.22%18.79%18.52%17.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.388%
Kelly +0.485%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.46%20.50%20.44%22.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.494.405.0026.32%22.27%22.73%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hansa Rostock (Local) : 62.56% ; VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur) : 17.05% ; Match nul : 20.39%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.90. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.94%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.14%EV -14.92%E -10.97%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -7.92%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 16:21
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.15%EV -0.076%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.75%EV -7.03%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -10.48%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -11.33%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 16:41
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:21
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.37%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.12%E -0.370%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.59%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.62%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.99%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:33
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -19.00%E -4.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-16 16:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55