StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart II

Matchstart: 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Hansa Rostock 3–2 VfB Stuttgart II

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hansa Rostock (Hemma)

Prognos 62.56%1.60rättvist odds
EV -6.16%
Fördel -4.11%
Kelly -12.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.54%62.41%62.55%65.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.451.441.5073.53%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Borta)

Prognos 17.05%5.86rättvist odds
EV -0.076%
Fördel -0.013%
Kelly -0.016%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.75%17.09%17.01%18.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.325.405.8622.22%18.79%18.52%17.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.39%4.90rättvist odds
EV +1.94%
Fördel +0.388%
Kelly +0.485%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.46%20.50%20.44%22.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.494.405.0026.32%22.27%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hansa Rostock (Hemma): 62.56%; VfB Stuttgart II (Borta): 17.05%; Oavgjort: 20.39%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.90. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.48%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.95%E -0.339%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV +1.94%E +0.388%K +0.485%G +0.009%8.3%2026-09-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -16.45%E -3.36%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.14%EV -14.92%E -10.97%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -7.92%E -1.47%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -2.14%E -0.445%K -0.563%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 16:21
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -11.16%E -7.86%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 16:21
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.09%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.15%EV -0.076%E -0.013%K -0.016%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.75%EV -7.03%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -10.48%E -2.00%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.98%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -11.33%E -2.18%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-16 16:41
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.67%EV -6.79%E -4.55%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -1.10%E -0.189%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:21
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-16 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.72%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 16:55
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.37%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 15.75%EV -2.12%E -0.370%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.59%EV -11.79%E -8.36%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -9.62%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.76%EV -13.35%E -3.14%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-16 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.99%EV -8.66%E -5.93%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -6.21%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-16 16:33
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-16 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -19.00%E -4.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.37%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-16 16:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.91%E -6.88%K -22.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.74%E -2.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-16 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%EV -12.42%E -8.87%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.52%EV -23.27%E -5.17%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -22.53%E -5.93%K -8.04%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-16 16:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-09-16 16:55