Language:English
Hansa Rostock v MSV Duisburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.42%49.11%49.11%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.881.9257.80%53.45%53.19%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visit)
Prediction 24.91%4.01fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%24.96%24.90%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.583.9029.41%27.98%27.93%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.21%25.93%25.99%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.473.503.7834.72%28.84%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hansa Rostock (Local): 49.10%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 24.91%; Draw: 25.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.78, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -1.76%E -0.467%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.84%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.07%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.36%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -25.15%E -8.73%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -15.05%E -8.70%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -19.44%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |