L’École des cotes

Hansa Rostock v MSV Duisburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hansa Rostock (Local)

Prévision 49.10%2.04cote équitable
EV -5.73%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -6.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.42%49.11%49.11%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.881.9257.80%53.45%53.19%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -0.983%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%24.96%24.90%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.573.583.9029.41%27.98%27.93%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -0.635%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.21%25.93%25.99%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.473.503.7834.72%28.84%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -1.76%E -0.467%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:15
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:15
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 48.84%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:49
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.07%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.36%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -25.15%E -8.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -15.05%E -8.70%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -19.44%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55