默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock v MSV Duisburg

开赛时间: 2026-03-14 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hansa Rostock (主队)

预测 49.10%2.04公平赔率
EV -5.73%
优势 -2.98%
Kelly -6.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布
46.42%49.11%49.11%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.871.881.9257.80%53.45%53.19%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

MSV Duisburg (客队)

预测 24.91%4.01公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -0.731%
Kelly -0.983%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.22%24.96%24.90%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.573.583.9029.41%27.98%27.93%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.99%3.85公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.467%
Kelly -0.635%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.78

博彩公司预测分布
25.21%25.93%25.99%29.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.473.503.7834.72%28.84%28.57%26.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hansa Rostock (主队):49.10%;MSV Duisburg (客队):24.91%;平局:25.99%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.85。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.78,期望值为-1.76%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -1.76%E -0.467%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.84%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:49
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.07%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.36%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -25.15%E -8.73%K -13.38%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -15.05%E -8.70%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -19.44%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 12:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-03-14 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-14 12:55