Idioma:Español
Hansa Rostock v MSV Duisburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Predicción 49.10%2.04momio equitativo
EV -5.73%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -6.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.42%49.11%49.11%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.881.9257.80%53.45%53.19%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
MSV Duisburg (Visitante)
Predicción 24.91%4.01momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%24.96%24.90%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.573.583.9029.41%27.98%27.93%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.99%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.635%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.21%25.93%25.99%29.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.473.503.7834.72%28.84%28.57%26.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hansa Rostock (Local): 49.10%; MSV Duisburg (Visitante): 24.91%; Empate: 25.99%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.85. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.78, con un valor esperado de -1.76%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.15%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -1.76%E -0.467%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -5.73%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.22%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -14.06%E -4.08%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.71%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -2.85%E -0.731%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.59%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.44%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.69%E -4.09%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.84%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.84%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -10.34%E -3.00%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.07%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.36%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.74%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.24%E -4.31%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -11.62%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -25.15%E -8.73%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -15.05%E -8.70%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.31%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -19.44%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |