Language:English
Fortuna Düsseldorf v TSG Hoffenheim II
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prediction 61.54%1.62fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -9.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.08%61.45%61.58%62.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5471.43%66.92%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit)
Prediction 17.84%5.61fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.418%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.98%17.81%17.80%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.07%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.62%4.85fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.01%20.74%20.62%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.274.224.5727.03%23.42%23.67%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 61.54%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit): 17.84%; Draw: 20.62%. For TSG Hoffenheim II (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -2.95%E -0.542%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.88%E -0.342%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -17.94%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -12.58%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.72%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -15.26%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-15 11:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -13.22%E -9.38%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -13.84%E -9.89%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.18% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |