Langue:Français
Fortuna Düsseldorf v TSG Hoffenheim II
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prévision 61.54%1.62cote équitable
EV -5.22%
Avantage -3.39%
Kelly -9.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.08%61.45%61.58%62.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5471.43%66.92%66.67%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.84%5.61cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.418%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.98%17.81%17.80%19.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.07%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.62%4.85cote équitable
EV -5.78%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.01%20.74%20.62%22.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.274.224.5727.03%23.42%23.67%21.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local) : 61.54% ; TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur) : 17.84% ; Match nul : 20.62%. Pour TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.50, pour une espérance de -1.88% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -2.95%E -0.542%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.88%E -0.342%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -17.94%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -12.58%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.72%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-15 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -15.26%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-15 11:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -13.22%E -9.38%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -13.84%E -9.89%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.18% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |