Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Düsseldorf v TSG Hoffenheim II

Inizio: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Finale: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–2 TSG Hoffenheim II

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Casa)

Previsione 61.54%1.62quota equa
EV -5.22%
Vantaggio -3.39%
Kelly -9.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.08%61.45%61.58%62.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.491.501.5471.43%66.92%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.84%5.61quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.342%
Kelly -0.418%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.98%17.81%17.80%19.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.07%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.62%4.85quota equa
EV -5.78%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.01%20.74%20.62%22.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.274.224.5727.03%23.42%23.67%21.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Casa): 61.54%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta): 17.84%; Pareggio: 20.62%. Per TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.61. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 5.50, con un valore atteso del -1.88%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -2.95%E -0.542%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.88%E -0.342%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:50
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -17.94%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -12.58%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 12:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.72%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -15.26%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-15 11:43
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-15 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -13.22%E -9.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -13.84%E -9.89%K -34.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-08-15 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-15 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-15 11:50