StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortuna Düsseldorf v TSG Hoffenheim II

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Fortuna Düsseldorf 0–2 TSG Hoffenheim II

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Hemma)

Prognos 61.54%1.62rättvist odds
EV -5.22%
Fördel -3.39%
Kelly -9.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.08%61.45%61.58%62.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.491.501.5471.43%66.92%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta)

Prognos 17.84%5.61rättvist odds
EV -1.88%
Fördel -0.342%
Kelly -0.418%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.98%17.81%17.80%19.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.07%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.62%4.85rättvist odds
EV -5.78%
Fördel -1.27%
Kelly -1.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.01%20.74%20.62%22.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.704.274.224.5727.03%23.42%23.67%21.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Hemma): 61.54%; TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta): 17.84%; Oavgjort: 20.62%. För TSG Hoffenheim II (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.61. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 5.50, med väntevärdet -1.88%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -5.22%E -3.39%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -2.95%E -0.542%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.84%E -3.82%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -7.23%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -6.45%E -4.25%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.88%E -0.342%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 11:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:50
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.26%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -17.94%E -3.90%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -12.58%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 12:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -7.69%E -5.12%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.42%EV -8.30%E -5.57%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%EV -8.92%E -6.02%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 10:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.53%E -6.48%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -14.37%E -2.99%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.76%E -7.42%K -23.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.22%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-15 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.14%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.24%EV -19.72%E -4.38%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.13%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -15.26%E -3.21%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -17.53%E -4.38%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-15 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-15 11:43
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.08%EV -11.38%E -7.90%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.32%EV -22.75%E -5.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.60%EV -23.72%E -6.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.6%2026-08-15 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -13.22%E -9.38%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.19%EV -9.02%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -13.84%E -9.89%K -34.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.80%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 11:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.36%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%1.2%2026-08-15 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-08-15 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-15 11:50