Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Würzburger Kickers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.61%53.89%54.00%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.671.7865.36%60.45%59.88%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)
Prediction 22.02%4.54fair odd
EV -0.932%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.266%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%22.04%22.07%23.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.38%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.98%4.17fair odd
EV +7.93%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Growth +0.180%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.15%24.08%23.93%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.804.5029.41%25.39%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 54.00%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit): 22.02%; Draw: 23.98%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.10%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -0.932%E -0.207%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -11.36%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.712%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -13.18%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
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