Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Würzburger Kickers

2026-08-08 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Prediction 59.66%1.68fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.93%59.29%59.66%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.551.6267.57%64.82%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visit)

Prediction 19.18%5.21fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -0.824%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.10%19.20%19.18%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.755.0023.81%21.47%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.16%4.73fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%21.52%21.16%24.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.074.104.4527.03%24.55%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -3.35%E -2.07%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.71%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -21.70%E -5.86%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-20 14:15
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.71%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -21.70%E -5.86%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.71%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -21.70%E -5.86%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-20 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -4.54%E -2.84%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.71%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -21.70%E -5.86%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-20 16:25
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.96%EV -7.52%E -4.85%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.16%EV -7.00%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.83%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 03:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.96%EV -7.52%E -4.85%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.16%EV -7.00%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.83%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 03:45
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -7.52%E -4.85%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -6.88%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 11:44
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.12%E -0.824%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.12%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.12%E -0.824%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.12%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 00:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.12%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 00:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -13.71%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -17.47%E -4.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 00:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 57.73%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -15.35%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-25 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.07%EV -11.10%E -7.45%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -17.54%E -4.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.47%EV -9.00%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-27 16:50
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -11.70%E -7.91%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.23%E -3.23%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50