Langue:Français
FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Würzburger Kickers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.61%53.89%54.00%57.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.671.7865.36%60.45%59.88%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.02%4.54cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.266%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.07%22.04%22.07%23.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.38%24.39%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.98%4.17cote équitable
EV +7.93%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Croissance +0.180%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.15%24.08%23.93%25.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.804.5029.41%25.39%26.32%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local) : 54.00% ; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur) : 22.02% ; Match nul : 23.98%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.17. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.93%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.10%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -0.932%E -0.207%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -11.36%K -32.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.712%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -13.18%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |