StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Würzburger Kickers

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 12:03 UTC

Endstand: FC Ingolstadt 04 2–2 FC Würzburger Kickers

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (10 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Heim)

Prognose 54.00%1.85faire Quote
EV -3.88%
Vorteil -2.18%
Kelly -4.97%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.78

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.61%53.89%54.00%57.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.651.671.7865.36%60.45%59.88%56.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.02%4.54faire Quote
EV -0.932%
Vorteil -0.207%
Kelly -0.266%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.07%22.04%22.07%23.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.38%24.39%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.98%4.17faire Quote
EV +7.93%
Vorteil +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Wachstum +0.180%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.15%24.08%23.93%25.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.943.804.5029.41%25.39%26.32%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Heim): 54.00%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Auswärts): 22.02%; Unentschieden: 23.98%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.17. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.93%.

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:19
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.10%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -0.932%E -0.207%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -11.36%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-08 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:45
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.712%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -13.18%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:35
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 11:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-08 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-08 11:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-08-08 11:50