StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Ingolstadt 04 v FC Würzburger Kickers

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 12:03 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Ingolstadt 04 2–2 FC Würzburger Kickers

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Hemma)

Prognos 54.00%1.85rättvist odds
EV -3.88%
Fördel -2.18%
Kelly -4.97%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.61%53.89%54.00%57.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.651.671.7865.36%60.45%59.88%56.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Borta)

Prognos 22.02%4.54rättvist odds
EV -0.932%
Fördel -0.207%
Kelly -0.266%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.07%22.04%22.07%23.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.104.104.5027.78%24.38%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.98%4.17rättvist odds
EV +7.93%
Fördel +1.76%
Kelly +2.27%
Tillväxt +0.180%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.15%24.08%23.93%25.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.943.804.5029.41%25.39%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Hemma): 54.00%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Borta): 22.02%; Oavgjort: 23.98%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.17. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.93%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -14.68%E -9.29%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%9.9%2026-08-08 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -15.22%E -9.69%K -26.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +7.93%E +1.76%K +2.27%G +0.180%10.3%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.66%E -0.405%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.23%E -0.973%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -12.52%E -7.73%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:19
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.27%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.10%EV -5.56%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -0.932%E -0.207%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:54
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -17.38%E -11.36%K -32.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-08 10:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.54%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:45
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Suprabets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.712%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.14%EV -13.18%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:35
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.44%E -6.98%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.65%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 11:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.94%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -9.82%E -5.88%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.34%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 11:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-08 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -13.60%E -8.50%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-08 11:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-08-08 11:50