Language:English
FC Energie Cottbus v SSV Ulm 1846
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Energie Cottbus (Local)
Prediction 59.13%1.69fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.15%59.27%59.00%61.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.89%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit)
Prediction 18.91%5.29fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +0.729%
Kelly +0.892%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.96%18.65%19.07%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.644.505.5023.53%21.57%22.22%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.95%4.55fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.000%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.02%22.08%21.93%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.074.104.4029.41%24.55%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 59.13%; SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit): 18.91%; Draw: 21.95%. For SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +4.01%E +0.729%K +0.892%G +0.036% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV +3.82%E +0.696%K +0.851%G +0.033% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.75%EV -4.06%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -3.55%E -0.697%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.85%E -10.31%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.35%E -7.46%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -14.26%E -9.83%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.96%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 12:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |