La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Energie Cottbus v SSV Ulm 1846
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Energie Cottbus (Local)
Predicción 59.13%1.69momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -5.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.15%59.27%59.00%61.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.89%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)
Predicción 18.91%5.29momio equitativo
EV +4.01%
Ventaja +0.729%
Kelly +0.892%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.96%18.65%19.07%21.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.644.505.5023.53%21.57%22.22%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.95%4.55momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%22.08%21.93%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.074.104.4029.41%24.55%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +4.01%E +0.729%K +0.892%G +0.036% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV +3.82%E +0.696%K +0.851%G +0.033% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.75%EV -4.06%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Suprabets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -3.55%E -0.697%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:34 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.85%E -10.31%K -33.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.35%E -7.46%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-21 12:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -14.26%E -9.83%K -31.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.96%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 12:38 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-21 09:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |