A Escola das Odds

FC Energie Cottbus v SSV Ulm 1846

Início: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Previsão 59.13%1.69odd justa
EV -3.61%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -5.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.15%59.27%59.00%61.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.89%63.69%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visitante)

Previsão 18.91%5.29odd justa
EV +4.01%
Vantagem +0.729%
Kelly +0.892%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.96%18.65%19.07%21.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.254.644.505.5023.53%21.57%22.22%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.95%4.55odd justa
EV -3.40%
Vantagem -0.773%
Kelly -1.000%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.02%22.08%21.93%24.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.074.104.4029.41%24.55%24.39%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +4.01%E +0.729%K +0.892%G +0.036%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV +3.82%E +0.696%K +0.851%G +0.033%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.75%EV -4.06%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:40
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -3.55%E -0.697%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 12:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:34
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:34
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:39
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:39
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:53
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:34
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 12:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.85%E -10.31%K -33.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.35%E -7.46%K -10.56%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -14.26%E -9.83%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.96%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 12:38
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 09:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55