L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v SSV Ulm 1846

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 59.13%1.69cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -5.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.15%59.27%59.00%61.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.571.571.6369.44%63.89%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.91%5.29cote équitable
EV +4.01%
Avantage +0.729%
Kelly +0.892%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.96%18.65%19.07%21.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.644.505.5023.53%21.57%22.22%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.95%4.55cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.773%
Kelly -1.000%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.02%22.08%21.93%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.074.104.4029.41%24.55%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -10.12%E -6.66%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +4.01%E +0.729%K +0.892%G +0.036%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.93%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.31%EV +3.82%E +0.696%K +0.851%G +0.033%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.75%EV -4.06%E -0.929%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.09%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -0.716%E -0.136%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:40
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -10.71%E -7.09%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -3.55%E -0.697%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 12:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 12:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 12:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:34
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.91%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.19%EV -8.28%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 12:34
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 12:39
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.53%E -6.23%K -17.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.23%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.79%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:39
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -5.98%E -3.76%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.17%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 12:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.30%EV -7.75%E -4.97%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -3.40%E -0.773%K -1.000%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -7.16%E -4.56%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.12%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 12:53
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -6.57%E -4.16%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -13.01%E -2.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:34
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.38%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.18%E -3.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-21 12:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.38%E -3.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-21 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.85%E -10.31%K -33.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -14.90%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -25.35%E -7.46%K -10.56%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.30%E -7.53%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-21 12:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 57.55%EV -14.26%E -9.83%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.27%EV -18.11%E -4.18%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.18%EV -20.96%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 12:38
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.15%EV -3.61%E -2.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 09:40
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.30%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -19.63%E -4.62%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.99%E -2.44%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.84%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55