默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Erzgebirge Aue v Alemannia Aachen

开赛时间: 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Erzgebirge Aue (主队)

预测 35.76%2.80公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.26%35.65%35.77%38.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.492.502.7042.02%40.18%40.00%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alemannia Aachen (客队)

预测 37.28%2.68公平赔率
EV -3.08%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
35.00%37.41%37.21%38.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.482.452.6044.44%40.38%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.96%3.71公平赔率
EV -4.01%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.56

博彩公司预测分布
26.03%26.94%27.03%28.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.363.403.5634.72%29.74%29.41%28.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Erzgebirge Aue (主队):35.76%;Alemannia Aachen (客队):37.28%;平局:26.96%。 对于“Alemannia Aachen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.68。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.60,期望值为-3.08%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.40%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:49
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Suprabets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -9.53%E -3.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:46
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 12:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 12:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.35%E -7.76%K -11.89%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.37%K -9.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 12:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.79%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88%1.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-03-07 12:50