A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Erzgebirge Aue v Alemannia Aachen
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Previsão 35.76%2.80odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.26%35.65%35.77%38.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.492.502.7042.02%40.18%40.00%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)
Previsão 37.28%2.68odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.00%37.41%37.21%38.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.482.452.6044.44%40.38%40.82%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 26.96%3.71odd justa
EV -4.01%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.03%26.94%27.03%28.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.363.403.5634.72%29.74%29.41%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.40%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -9.53%E -3.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:46 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.35%E -7.76%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.37%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.79% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |