StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Erzgebirge Aue v Alemannia Aachen

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Erzgebirge Aue (Hemma)

Prognos 35.76%2.80rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -1.28%
Kelly -2.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.26%35.65%35.77%38.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.492.502.7042.02%40.18%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alemannia Aachen (Borta)

Prognos 37.28%2.68rättvist odds
EV -3.08%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -1.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.00%37.41%37.21%38.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.482.452.6044.44%40.38%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.96%3.71rättvist odds
EV -4.01%
Fördel -1.13%
Kelly -1.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.03%26.94%27.03%28.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.363.403.5634.72%29.74%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Erzgebirge Aue (Hemma): 35.76%; Alemannia Aachen (Borta): 37.28%; Oavgjort: 26.96%. För Alemannia Aachen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.68. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.60, med väntevärdet -3.08%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.40%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:49
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Suprabets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -9.53%E -3.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:46
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 12:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:50
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 12:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 12:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 12:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.35%E -7.76%K -11.89%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-07 12:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.37%K -9.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-07 12:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.79%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88%1.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%2.3%2026-03-07 12:50