L’École des cotesFrançais
Erzgebirge Aue v Alemannia Aachen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Prévision 35.76%2.80cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.26%35.65%35.77%38.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.492.502.7042.02%40.18%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alemannia Aachen (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.28%2.68cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.00%37.41%37.21%38.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.452.6044.44%40.38%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%26.94%27.03%28.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.403.5634.72%29.74%29.41%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.15%EV -4.20%E -1.63%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.82%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -12.40%E -5.28%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.81%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.02%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -7.74%E -3.00%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.55%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -9.53%E -3.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.97%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 12:46 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.54%E -4.39%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.33%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.98%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -14.26%E -6.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.35%E -7.76%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -3.08%E -1.19%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -14.89%E -6.26%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -16.13%E -7.17%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -19.11%E -6.37%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.79% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.66% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 12:50 |