Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.83%40.86%40.64%42.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.57%44.44%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hansa Rostock (Visit)
Prediction 35.54%2.81fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.98%35.53%35.60%36.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.572.602.7043.48%38.96%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV -0.548%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.68%23.61%23.76%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.713.604.2033.33%26.92%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 40.78%; Hansa Rostock (Visit): 35.54%; Draw: 23.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.548%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.548%E -0.130%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -8.65%E -3.86%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.07%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 11:37 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.92%E -0.711%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 11:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -17.12%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.57%EV -18.26%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -21.86%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -28.96%E -9.65%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |