L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Score final : Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Hansa Rostock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 40.78%2.45cote équitable
EV -5.80%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.83%40.86%40.64%42.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.57%44.44%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hansa Rostock (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.54%2.81cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.98%35.53%35.60%36.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.572.602.7043.48%38.96%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.68%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.548%
Avantage -0.130%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%23.61%23.76%27.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.713.604.2033.33%26.92%27.78%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.548%E -0.130%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:30
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:31
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:56
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:36
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Suprabets2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -8.65%E -3.86%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.07%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:37
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.92%E -0.711%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:36
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -17.12%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 11:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.57%EV -18.26%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 11:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -21.86%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -28.96%E -9.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%22.6%2026-05-02 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 11:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:56