La escuela de los momios

Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock

Inicio: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Final: Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Hansa Rostock

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Predicción 40.78%2.45momio equitativo
EV -5.80%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.83%40.86%40.64%42.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.57%44.44%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.98%35.53%35.60%36.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.602.7043.48%38.96%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.68%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.548%
Ventaja -0.130%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.68%23.61%23.76%27.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.713.604.2033.33%26.92%27.78%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.548%E -0.130%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:30
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:31
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:56
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:36
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Suprabets2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -8.65%E -3.86%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.07%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:37
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.92%E -0.711%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:36
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -17.12%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 11:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.57%EV -18.26%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 11:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -21.86%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -28.96%E -9.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%22.6%2026-05-02 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 11:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:56