A Escola das Odds

Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Final: Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Hansa Rostock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Previsão 40.78%2.45odd justa
EV -5.80%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.83%40.86%40.64%42.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.57%44.44%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 35.54%2.81odd justa
EV -4.04%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.98%35.53%35.60%36.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.572.602.7043.48%38.96%38.46%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.68%4.22odd justa
EV -0.548%
Vantagem -0.130%
Kelly -0.171%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.68%23.61%23.76%27.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.713.604.2033.33%26.92%27.78%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.80%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -0.548%E -0.130%K -0.171%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.47%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:30
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:31
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -7.02%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:56
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:36
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:35
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.41%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:54
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.24%E -3.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 11:25
Suprabets2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -8.65%E -3.86%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.07%EV -6.70%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 11:37
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.92%E -0.711%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -8.84%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:35
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.02%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:36
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.28%E -4.67%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 11:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 11:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.32%E -5.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -17.12%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 11:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.06%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.57%EV -18.26%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 11:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.70%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.48%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -21.86%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -14.36%E -6.84%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -28.96%E -9.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%22.6%2026-05-02 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.87%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-05-02 11:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.4%2026-05-02 11:56