Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.30%55.73%55.09%58.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.681.671.7865.36%59.57%59.88%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)
Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.92%22.17%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.964.004.6027.78%25.26%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.96%22.35%22.74%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.903.904.4030.30%25.61%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 55.46%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 22.07%; Draw: 22.47%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.24%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -0.241%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.72%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.28%E -3.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.48%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -2.69%E -0.622%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 22.88%EV -12.38%E -3.12%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:37 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 11:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -1.29%E -0.723%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.04%E -9.06%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -15.15%E -9.90%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.30%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.88%EV -25.84%E -7.83%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |