La scuola delle quote

1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim

Inizio: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Finale: 1. FC Saarbrücken 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Casa)

Previsione 55.46%1.80quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.723%
Kelly -1.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.30%55.73%55.09%58.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.681.671.7865.36%59.57%59.88%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waldhof Mannheim (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.07%4.53quota equa
EV +1.52%
Vantaggio +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.32%21.92%22.17%24.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.964.004.6027.78%25.26%25.00%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.47%4.45quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.96%22.35%22.74%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.903.904.4030.30%25.61%25.64%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.24%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -0.241%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:51
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:56
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.72%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.28%E -3.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:56
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:56
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.48%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:56
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -2.69%E -0.622%K -0.809%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 11:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:56
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Suprabets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 22.88%EV -12.38%E -3.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:37
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 11:41
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 11:56
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -1.29%E -0.723%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.04%E -9.06%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -15.15%E -9.90%K -28.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 52.30%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.88%EV -25.84%E -7.83%K -11.24%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:51