L’École des cotes

1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Saarbrücken 2–0 Waldhof Mannheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.30%55.73%55.09%58.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.681.671.7865.36%59.57%59.88%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waldhof Mannheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.92%22.17%24.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.964.004.6027.78%25.26%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.47%4.45cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%22.35%22.74%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.903.904.4030.30%25.61%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.24%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -0.241%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:51
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:50
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:56
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.72%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.28%E -3.71%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:56
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:56
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.48%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:56
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -2.69%E -0.622%K -0.809%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 11:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 11:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:56
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Suprabets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 22.88%EV -12.38%E -3.12%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:37
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:54
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 11:41
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-02 11:56
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -1.29%E -0.723%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:31
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.04%E -9.06%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -15.15%E -9.90%K -28.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 52.30%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.88%EV -25.84%E -7.83%K -11.24%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-05-02 11:51