La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof Mannheim
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.723%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.30%55.73%55.09%58.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.681.671.7865.36%59.57%59.88%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante)
Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.331%
Kelly +0.424%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.92%22.17%24.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.964.004.6027.78%25.26%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.47%4.45momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.330%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.96%22.35%22.74%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.903.904.4030.30%25.61%25.64%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.43%EV -11.27%E -7.04%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.52%E +0.331%K +0.424%G +0.006% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -1.12%E -0.255%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.24%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.02%EV -0.241%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -1.80%E -0.411%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.98%EV -9.05%E -5.52%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.682%E -0.152%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.72%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -8.41%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.99%E -2.22%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.28%E -3.71%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.51%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.48%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -2.69%E -0.622%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.50%E -5.15%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.72%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 22.88%EV -12.38%E -3.12%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:37 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -6.83%E -4.07%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -7.39%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 11:41 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.13%EV -10.71%E -6.65%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.13%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -14.60%E -3.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -1.29%E -0.723%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -15.73%E -4.19%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.53%EV -14.04%E -9.06%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.56%EV -15.15%E -9.90%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.26%EV -17.24%E -4.60%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.19%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.16%E -6.27%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -19.10%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.30%EV -12.93%E -8.24%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.88%EV -25.84%E -7.83%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-05-02 11:51 |