1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

36%

39%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.82%

Kelly -4.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.64%35.64%35.64%35.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.602.602.6038%38%38%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.61%38.61%38.61%38.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.402.402.4042%42%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.04%

Kelly -2.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.74%25.74%25.74%25.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.603.603.603.6028%28%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-14 13:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.