Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 34.71%2.88fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%34.75%34.66%35.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.552.7541.67%38.60%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 39.45%2.53fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.92%39.54%39.55%41.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.302.4748.78%43.64%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.648%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.71%25.71%25.79%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.43%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 34.71%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 39.45%; Draw: 25.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.55%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.61%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -10.05%E -4.41%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.11%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 13:37 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.36%EV -13.99%E -6.42%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-09 09:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -19.12%E -9.33%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -14.96%E -6.11%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-08-09 09:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |