The School of Odds
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1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%35.34%35.40%37.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.7043.48%39.50%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)

Prediction 38.86%2.57fair odd
EV -6.75%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.63%38.88%38.83%39.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4046.51%42.84%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.78%25.77%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.7531.25%28.51%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 35.35%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 38.86%; Draw: 25.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -3.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.56%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 22:14
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -4.91%E -1.83%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.39%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 20:29
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.88%EV -5.97%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:40
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.88%EV -5.97%E -2.25%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.26%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 08:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 09:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:55
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:55
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.69%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 08:54
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.80%E -3.41%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 20:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%EV -8.80%E -3.41%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.51%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 20:24
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:24
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.48%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.67%EV -9.08%E -3.88%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 14:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.37%EV -9.86%E -3.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.22%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:53
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 35.20%EV -10.92%E -4.33%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.08%EV -11.80%E -5.20%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 19:18
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 20:19
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 18:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.63%E -4.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 19:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 19:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -7.91%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -13.40%E -5.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -7.91%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -3.26%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-03 10:04
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -15.16%E -6.32%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -3.26%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 19:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.72%EV -16.46%E -7.66%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-04 22:04
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 35.08%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.83%EV -16.46%E -7.66%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-04 21:55
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 35.08%EV -15.87%E -6.67%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.83%EV -16.46%E -7.66%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -17.45%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-04 21:53
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -16.93%E -7.20%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 19:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -18.70%E -8.13%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.